Let us examine the textile and apparel industry of India and China. India had set the target to achieve $50bn exports by 2010. India’s Exports in 2004-05 were $14bn and in 2005-06: $ 17bn. India’s official target in 2005, at the end of the quota system, was to achieving 7-8% share in the coming three years, and about 15 to 16% by the year 2010. Today, our leaders expect to achieve 20% per annum growth in exports over the next five years which would double India’s share of the global textile industry to about 6.6%. India expects exports to be $24bn (about 4.5% of the global trade) for the current fiscal against the estimated $20bn in 2009-2010. Experts believe this could reach $80bn in 10 years, or 8% of the world market.
China’s export of textile and clothes touched $206.53bn in 2010 (Jan.-Dec.), rising 23.59% from previous year. The global trade in textiles and clothing is expected to touch around $800bn by 2014 from the current $500bn. So, the fact-of-the-matter is that we are comparing India – having an annual exports of hardly $24bn (less than 4% global share) – with China having annual exports of more than $206bn and the global share of nearly 40%. Are they comparable? Definitely, No. Even Bangladesh, Indonesia and Vietnam are performing better than India on the export front.
The scenario is more or less similar in almost all spheres of economic activity. Definitely, India is not in the picture when it comes to Obama’s so called ‘war’ to win the future. This ‘war’ is going to be between the US and China and everyone understands that. Obama may have just mentioned India’s name to downplay China’s role but let us not have any illusion. Let them fight that war. As far as India is concerned, we got to manage the present well so that we not only maintain our core competencies and specialities but also try to eliminate our drawbacks, acquire newer skills and hence ‘make’ the future for our billion plus population in the years to come. Let us not try to ‘win’ the future. Instead, let us work all together to ‘make’ it.